31-year old righty Brandon Lyon will be the Astros’ closer in 2011. He pitched in 79 games (0 starts) for the Astros last year and he was 6-6 with 20 saves, a 3.12 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Lyon has now pitched in 453 games (21 starts) in his first 9 years in the majors and he is 33-40 with 74 saves, a 4.05 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP. I have a feeling that Lyon is going to do a solid, but unspectacular job as the Astros’ closer in 2011.
27-year old righty Wilton Lopez will be the Astros’ set-up man in 2011. Lopez pitched in 68 games (0 starts) for the Astros last year and he was 5-2 with 1 save, a 2.96 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. He only walked an absolutely stunning 5 batters in 67 innings last season for the Astros! He has now pitched in 76 games (2 starts) in his first two years with the Astros and he is 5-4 with 1 save, a 4.17 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP. Don’t be surprised to see Lopez vulture a couple of saves away from Lyon in 2011.
25-year old lefty Fernando Abad comes into the 2011 season as the Astros’ #16 prospect according to Baseball America. Abad pitched in 22 games (0 starts) for the Astros last year and he was 0-1 with a 2.84 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP. He also pitched in 19 games (4 starts) in AA+AAA-ball last year and he was 4-3 with a 2.35 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Abad could be the lefty the Astros stick with late in games in 2011.
26-year old righty Mark Melancon came over in a deal with the Yankees last year and the Astros like him. He pitched in 20 games (0 starts) for the Astros last year and he was 2-0 with a 3.12 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP. Melancon has now pitched in 35 games (0 starts) in his first two years in the majors and he is 2-1 with a 4.06 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.
23-year old righty Aneury Rodriguez comes into this season as the Astros’ #11 prospect according to Baseball America. Rodriguez was a Rule 5 Draft Pick off of the Tampa Bay Rays’ roster, so they will have to keep him on the active roster all year long if they want to keep him. He pitched in 29 games (19 starts) in AA+AAA-ball last year and he was 7-5 with a 3.71 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Rodriguez has now pitched in 141 games (131 starts) in his first six years in the minors and he is 41-43 with a 4.56 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP. I look for the Astros to keep Rodriguez active all year long.
31-year old righty Jeff Fulchino will need to pitch better in 2011 if he wants to continue earning a major league paycheck. He pitched in 50 games (0 starts) for the Astros last year and he was 2-1 with a 5.51 ERA and a 1.59 WHIP. Fulchino has now pitched in 111 games (0 starts) in his first two years with the Astros and he is 8-5 with a 4.18 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP.
30-year old lefty Gustavo Chacin is back for 2011. He pitched in 44 games (0 starts) for the Astros last year and he was 2-2 with 1 save, a 4.70 ERA and a 1.85 WHIP. Chacin has now pitched in 102 games (58 starts) in his first five years in the majors and he is 27-17 with 1 save, a 4.23 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP. Chacin needs to limit the baserunners quite a bit more if the Astros are going to use him in 2011.
26-year old righty Samuel Gervacio had issues last season. He pitched in 6 games (0 starts) for the Astros last year and he was 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA and a 2.46 WHIP. Gervacio has now pitched in 35 games (0 starts) in his first two years with the Astros and he is 1-2 with a 3.65 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP. He has the potential to really help the Astros in 2011 if he can remain healthy and focused.
27-year old righty Alberto Arias missed all of the 2009 season due to an injured shoulder. He last pitched in the majors in 2009 with the Astros. Arias has pitched in 45 games (2 starts) in his first two years with the Astros and he is 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.58 WHIP. Arias can help the Astros in 2011 if he can stay healthy.
26-year old lefty Wesley Wright is going to have to step up in 2011 if he’s going to be pitching a lot with the Astros in 2011. Wright pitched in 14 games (4 starts) for the Astros last year and he was 1-2 with a 5.73 ERA and a 1.52 WHIP. He has now pitched in 134 games (4 starts) in his first three years with the Astros and he is 8-9 with 1 save, a 5.33 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP. Wright does have a live arm as he has 133 whiffs in his first 133 1/3 innings in his major league career, but he needs to throw more strikes as he walked 72 batters which is way too many.
PROJECTED GRADE FOR THE ASTROS BULLPEN IN 2011: D